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RESEARCH REPORT

Uzbekistan’s Fresh Grape Export Recovery: More Volume, Heavy Dependence on Russia

Export earnings more than doubled in 2024, but one market accounted for most of the rebound.

Uzbekistan’s Fresh Grape Export Recovery: More Volume, Heavy Dependence on Russia

*Export earnings more than doubled in 2024, but one market accounted for most of the rebound.*

Uzbekistan’s fresh grape exports recovered sharply in 2024. Export value reached **$186.1 million**, up from **$89.3 million in 2023**—an increase of **108.3%**. Export volume also rose substantially, from approximately **129,453 tonnes to 219,072 tonnes**.

The recovery was strong, but it followed a steep decline. Export earnings had reached $196.1 million in 2022 before falling by 54.4% in 2023. Despite more than doubling the following year, 2024 earnings remained approximately 5.1% below their 2022 level.

These figures describe a rebound rather than a new export record. They also raise two questions: how much of the recovery came from shipping more grapes, and which markets absorbed those shipments?

Uzbekistan’s Fresh Grape Export Value and Volume, 2019–2024. View underlying data →

More grapes shipped—and a higher value per kilogram

Export volume increased by **69.2% in 2024**, while the average export unit value rose from approximately **$0.69 to $0.85 per kilogram**, an increase of **23.1%**.

Both changes contributed to higher earnings. Uzbekistan shipped considerably more grapes, and the reported value of those shipments increased faster than their weight.

However, export unit value is not the same as a market price. It is calculated by dividing total export value by total net weight. Changes can reflect differences in grape varieties, quality, destination markets, shipment timing, or other aspects of the export mix.

Some net weights in UN Comtrade—including the 2024 aggregate—are also marked as estimated. The unit-value increase should therefore be interpreted as a statistical measure, rather than evidence that every exporter received a higher price.

Source: Uzbekistan Fresh Grape Exports, 2019–2025.

Uzbekistan Fresh Grape Export Value by Destination in 2024. View underlying data →

Russia accounted for most of the recovery

Russia was by far Uzbekistan’s largest fresh grape export destination in 2024, receiving **$152.6 million**, or approximately **82.0% of total export value**.

The next largest markets were Kazakhstan, with **$15.3 million**, Kyrgyzstan, with **$10.7 million**, and Belarus, with **$6.7 million**. Together with Russia, these four markets accounted for approximately **99.5%** of export earnings.

Exports to Russia rose from $71.7 million in 2023 to $152.6 million in 2024. That increase of approximately **$80.9 million accounted for 83.6% of the overall net increase** in Uzbekistan’s fresh grape export value.

Kyrgyzstan, Belarus, and Kazakhstan also contributed to the rebound. Nevertheless, Russia remained the central market: its share increased from approximately 80.3% in 2023 to 82.0% in 2024.

The recovery therefore brought higher earnings alongside continued concentration. It did not represent a substantial shift toward a broader set of export markets.

Source: Uzbekistan Fresh Grape Export Destinations, 2019–2024.

What the figures can—and cannot—explain

The data establish that higher shipment volumes, higher aggregate unit values, and increased exports to Russia accompanied the recovery.

They do not establish why those changes occurred. Explaining the rebound would require additional evidence on harvest conditions, demand, exchange rates, logistics, and trade requirements.

Uzbekistan’s production and vineyard statistics provide useful agricultural context, but they cover grapes for all uses. They do not identify how much production was allocated specifically to fresh exports.

The supporting agricultural datasets are available here:

A recovery with a concentrated market base

Uzbekistan’s 2024 fresh grape export performance shows the earning potential of its existing trade relationships. It also highlights how strongly national export results depend on one destination.

For future analysis, the key question is whether Uzbekistan can sustain export growth while expanding sales across more markets. The 2024 figures demonstrate a substantial recovery; they do not yet demonstrate diversification.

Data and methodology

This article uses Uzbekistan-reported UN Comtrade exports under **HS 080610: Grapes, fresh**, for 2019–2024. Export values are expressed in current US dollars, without adjustment for inflation. Volumes use net weight in kilograms, converted to tonnes where stated.

Unit values are calculated as export value divided by net weight. Destination shares and contributions to export growth are calculated from export values. The World row is excluded from destination totals to prevent double-counting.

Russia’s contribution to the rebound is calculated by dividing the increase in exports to Russia between 2023 and 2024 by the increase in total exports over the same period.

Although the linked annual dataset includes a 2025 national release, this analysis ends in 2024 to keep annual and destination comparisons on the same source basis. The 2025 release does not explicitly print HS 080610, and no corresponding 2025 destination breakdown is included in our dataset.

Data checked on **16 October 2026**.